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Prediction for CME (2025-07-20T07:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2025-07-20T07:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/40157/-1 CME Note: CME first seen to the ESE in STEREO A COR2 starting at 2025-07-20T07:53Z. CME is also seen to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1. The source of this CME is likely a small filament eruption centered around S25E17 best seen in GOES SUVI 304 beginning around 2025-07-20T07:00Z. It is also worth noting an eruption from AR 14150 beginning around 2025-07-20T05:00Z in GOES SUVI 304 that could be a less likely source candidate. Measurement of this CME indicates some eastern deflection. CME Arrival Time: ----- Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ----- Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-07-23T07:22Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 49.5% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 39.50 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-07-21T15:52Z |
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